The Central African Republic (CAR) has descended into
another bout of sectarian violence as Muslim fighters have had their arms seized
and the minority comes under attack from the Christian majority.
This region of Africa is often forgotten as Sudan, The Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda dominate the news as violent clashes, war lords and child soldiers plague these states.
This region of Africa is often forgotten as Sudan, The Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda dominate the news as violent clashes, war lords and child soldiers plague these states.
France has deployed to its old colony in an attempt to quell
the violence and though some have argued that it is another attempt to serve
their own interests they have been well received. CAR has 4.6 million people and only
200 police officers, that is 1 policemen to every 23,000 people. No wonder they
cannot control the populace.
French troops patrol limited areas of the CAR |
Michel Djotodia came to power on the back of a rebellion last year after the Muslim Seleka ousted Francois Bozize on the charge of failing to respect a peace deal agreed in 2007. Yet, the rebels have continued to attack the populace leading to the rise of sectarian violence as Christian ‘anti-balaka’ work to protect themselves. Making matters worse is that the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA) is operating in this region. In addition, it is not a good moment to be an elephant as over 90% have been killed for exports of ivory to the developed world in order to finance the conflict.
However, what affect have the French forces had upon the
violence in this region? Though widely well received is that because they have
supported the majority Christians as suggested by the Muslims?
In the CAR French peacekeepers have, with the permission of
the UN, begun to remove weapons from the Muslim fighters but this has allowed
militias to launch reprisals. Christians were angry at the government, blaming
their economic conditions on its policies but in reality it reflected the current
global pattern and the UN’s inability to access the region as it feared armed
groups.
Disarming the Muslim groups draws the state into a stalemate and as suggested third party interventions
appear to prolong conflict. They place a barrier between the fighters and
enable them to build up rhetoric and weapons. If peacekeepers are implemented
for a long period which enables the sides to ‘forget’ the atrocities which occurred
or economically divert their attention then this may be effective. Yet, with no
form of statehood it looks likely to be a costly and protracted peacekeeping
mission.
Many desperately flee the conflict via any form of transport. |
Nonetheless, the haunting memory of Rwanda keeps Western politicians eager to implement forces to prevent the feared genocide in the CAR. But are they doing enough?
In the Defence Web’s analysis of peacekeeping it notes that Retired
Rear Admiral Rolf Hauter argues the mandate for an operation must correspond
with the requirement on the ground to have any chance of success, “the forces
assigned to the operation must be able and willing to execute the mandate ie
adequate numbers, trained and correctly equipped. If not, it will most probably
be a waste of time”.
The forces committed to conflict resolution must be
significant enough to reach to all corners of the state. Presently, French
forces are unable to police the rural areas where the militants have set up new
bases and continue the atrocities.
In light of the British Army’s Strategic Narrative published
on the 1st October 2013 it is clear that for a military force to
achieve successful intervention a division strength of 25,000 troops is necessary. In fact, this is mentioned consistently in the report. Simply, we need to concentrate on several issues at a time and devote
considerable resources to conflict resolution, whether economic or militarily.
Cutting the Armed forces in the United Kingdom is the appropriate course of
action as the United Kingdom is accused by Robert Gates, former US defence secretary,
as being unable to fulfil its full partnership alongside the United States.
If we are committed to resolving conflict in the
international context we must retain a strong military force which we are
prepared to deploy for long periods of time in effective peacekeeping missions.
With the Taliban suggesting Afghanistan will be retaken after the troops pull
out in 2014 we need to revise our peacekeeping strategy and halt risky and
small operations which serve only to reduce conflict in the short-term. Long-term policies may not be popular with the voter but the public must stop and consider the arguments.
HAHA Look at that car! He's not fleeing anywhere!
ReplyDeleteI know, I thought my car was sometimes overloaded with bags. This takes it to a new level.
DeleteHey Chris great blog!
ReplyDeleteOn the topic of interventions, will successive British Governments look to intervene with boots on the ground in the future considering the public dissatisfaction with Iraq and Afghanistan?
But also what is required of the armed forces with a shrinking defence budget. It is no use having a division unless you cannot deploy it and that requires Britain to maintain and potentially increase its strategic mobility through the Naval Service and Royal Air Force.
But again really interesting. Have you read the transcripts or listened to the Annual RUSI lectures held by the Chief of Defence Staff? They are really interesting to see what direction defence is taking and the most recent one focusses on the issues of manpower with especial focus on the Royal Navy who are struggling to man the fleet.
Ali
Ali,
DeleteThanks!
I do not think any Western government intentionally looks to put boots on the ground unless it fulfils tactical, economic or some form of UN mandate. As the UK heads up the European Rapid Reaction Force we have committed to reacting to conflicts in the future alongside our commitment to a partnership with the United States.
I argue that the budget should not be cut but reorganised. I am a firm believer that our nuclear capabilities are void of purpose in present wars as we aim to fix and destroy non-state actors. Many argue that we do not need them because we have them and it is a cyclical argument. However, without the ability to mobilise a division I feel we face a graver threat.
I have not but will aim to have a skim through it tonight.
Thanks for the thoughts,
Chris